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1,700 GW of Renewable Projects Stalled Worldwide Due to Grid Constraints: IEA World Energy Outlook Report

According to the IEA, Renewables set new deployment records in 2024 for the 23rd consecutive year, yet consumption of oil, gas, coal, and even nuclear power also hit record highs.

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SaurEnergy News Bureau
IEA WorldEnergyOutlook2025

The latest World Energy Outlook 2025 report by the International Energy Agency (IEA) has highlighted a growing surplus in clean energy technology manufacturing, driven largely by a rapid expansion in global solar module capacity. In 2024, production capacity for solar modules was nearly twice the actual output, while battery cell capacity was about three times higher, with a large portion of the excess ending up in inventories.

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Source- IEA World Energy Outlook2025 Photograph: (IEA World Energy Outlook 2025)
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A major concern in what the IEA calls the “Age of Electricity” is the imbalance between generation and grid investment. Since 2015, investments in electricity generation have surged by almost 70% to $1 trillion annually, yet annual spending on grids has grown at less than half that pace, reaching only USD 400 billion. This uneven growth has contributed to rising curtailment of wind and solar output and more frequent negative pricing in wholesale electricity markets.

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The report added that slow permitting processes and tight markets for key components such as transformers continue to delay grid expansion. In China, curtailment thresholds for wind and solar PV were also raised in 2024 to address system imbalances.

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Energy Investment to Rise 50%

The IEA noted that global energy investment surpassed USD 3.2 trillion in 2024 and is projected to reach USD 3.3 trillion in 2025. Annual investment in power generation has climbed from around USD 600 billion in 2015 to over USD 1 trillion today, driven by soaring solar PV deployment.

However, grid investment has lagged, inching up to only USD 400 billion. While the rise in battery storage—with annual additions exceeding 75 gigawatts (GW) in 2024—has helped ease some pressures, it cannot fully offset grid constraints.
The report also revealed that around 1,700 GW of renewable projects at advanced stages of development remain stalled due to a lack of grid connections.

Solar and Battery Costs Plummet 80%

Several clean energy technologies have witnessed dramatic cost declines and performance gains over the past decade. The global average prices of solar PV modules and electric vehicle batteries dropped by more than 80% between 2014 and 2024.
As a result, the levelised cost of electricity (LCOE) from solar PV is now among the lowest in history. However, the IEA noted that competitiveness should also account for the broader value different technologies bring to power systems.

Despite these gains, global energy demand patterns remain complex. Renewables set new deployment records in 2024 for the 23rd consecutive year, yet consumption of oil, gas, coal, and even nuclear power also hit record highs.
Driven largely by China, demand for coal has grown 50% faster than for natural gas since 2019—one of the key reasons energy-related emissions continue to rise.

David Tong, Global Industry Campaign Manager at Oil Change International, said, "Holding warming to 1.5ºC means no further delay, no new fossil fuels, and public planning and funding to guarantee a just energy transition. Yet the U.S. is trying to put this path - the only route to survival - beyond reach by reviving an outdated, fossil-fuelled scenario that assumes governments abandon their efforts and progress stalls."

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Photograph: (World Energy Outlook 2025 by IEA)

“But this year’s report also shows Donald Trump’s dystopian future, bringing back the old, fossil-fuel intense, high pollution Current Policies Scenario, charting an unrealistic pathway where governments drag their energy policies backwards and rates of renewable energy adoption stall, leading to high energy prices and unmitigated climate disaster. At COP30, governments must reject this nightmare fantasy, uphold a just transition, and choose a fast, fair, and funded fossil fuel phaseout.”

Coal to fall back, but oil demand to sustain till 2030

The IEA report highlights contrasting outlooks for oil, gas, and coal across different scenarios. In the Current Policies Scenario (CPS), demand for oil and natural gas is projected to keep rising through 2050, even as coal use begins to decline before the end of this decade.

Under the Stated Policies Scenario (STEPS), coal demand peaks while oil consumption levels off around 2030. However, unlike last year’s Outlook, gas demand continues to expand into the 2030s—driven largely by shifts in U.S. policies and lower gas prices.

In the Net Zero Emissions (NZE) Scenario, a rapid scale-up of low-emissions technologies leads to sharp reductions in demand across all fossil fuels, signaling the pace of change required for a net-zero pathway.

Coal fossil fuel Solar Investment Clean Energy IEA report
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